Another crisp report on the current state of the Syrian civil war from Small Wars Journal:
In the last few weeks, the center of gravity of the ongoing struggle for control of northern Syria has become apparent. The war in Syria is entering a critical new phase. In Idlib and Raqqa provinces, the regime’s lines of communication and supply between its stronghold cities are being seriously threatened. At several points on the map, rebel forces have seized chokeholds on the routes that link the strongholds of the regime to the active battlefields of northern and eastern Syria. These chokepoints are the fulcrum upon which the fortunes of Idlib, Aleppo, Raqqa and Dayr-az-Zoir Provinces will be decided.
This is by the same guy who wrote that piece on the Syrian uprising considered as Maoist people's war the other week. Applying that analogy to the current state of play, this is strongly reminiscent of the Liaoshen campaign of 1948, which I guess puts Damascus on course to fall sometime next spring.